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Home   COVID-19 treatment studies for Molnupiravir  COVID-19 treatment studies for Molnupiravir  C19 studies: Molnupiravir  Molnupiravir   Select treatmentSelect treatmentTreatmentsTreatments
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0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Mortality 77% Improvement Relative Risk Mortality (b) 65% Mortality (c) 67% Mortality (d) 58% Hospitalization -33% Hospitalization (b) -13% Hospitalization (c) -100% Hospitalization (d) 58% Virological cure 49% Virological cure (b) 89% Virological cure (c) 30% Virological cure (d) -9% Virological cure (e) 92% Virological cure (f) 92% Virological cure (g) 91% Virological cure (h) 59% Virological cure (i) 30% Virological cure (j) 62% Virological cure (k) -8% Virological cure (l) 56% c19mp.com/fischer.html Favors molnupiravir Favors control
18 June 2021 - Early treatment study
Molnupiravir, an Oral Antiviral Treatment for COVID-19
Fischer et al., medRxiv, doi:10.1101/2021.06.17.21258639 (Preprint)
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RCT 202 outpatients in the USA showing significantly faster viral clearance, but no significant differences in symptom duration or severity. NCT04405570.
risk of death, 76.5% lower, RR 0.23, p = 0.31, treatment 0 of 140 (0.0%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), NNT 62, relative risk is not 0 because of continuity correction due to zero events (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), all.
risk of death, 65.4% lower, RR 0.35, p = 1.00, treatment 0 of 55 (0.0%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), NNT 62, relative risk is not 0 because of continuity correction due to zero events (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), 800mg.
risk of death, 66.7% lower, RR 0.33, p = 1.00, treatment 0 of 62 (0.0%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), NNT 62, relative risk is not 0 because of continuity correction due to zero events (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), 400mg.
risk of death, 57.8% lower, RR 0.42, p = 1.00, treatment 0 of 23 (0.0%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), NNT 62, relative risk is not 0 because of continuity correction due to zero events (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), 200mg.
risk of hospitalization, 32.9% higher, RR 1.33, p = 1.00, treatment 3 of 140 (2.1%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), all.
risk of hospitalization, 12.7% higher, RR 1.13, p = 1.00, treatment 1 of 55 (1.8%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), 800mg.
risk of hospitalization, 100% higher, RR 2.00, p = 1.00, treatment 2 of 62 (3.2%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), 400mg.
risk of hospitalization, 57.8% lower, RR 0.42, p = 1.00, treatment 0 of 23 (0.0%), control 1 of 62 (1.6%), NNT 62, relative risk is not 0 because of continuity correction due to zero events (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), 200mg.
risk of no virological cure, 49.2% lower, RR 0.51, p = 0.12, treatment 10 of 118 (8.5%), control 9 of 54 (16.7%), NNT 12, infectious, day 3, all.
risk of no virological cure, 88.7% lower, RR 0.11, p = 0.02, treatment 1 of 53 (1.9%), control 9 of 54 (16.7%), NNT 6.8, infectious, day 3, 800mg.
risk of no virological cure, 30.2% lower, RR 0.70, p = 0.57, treatment 5 of 43 (11.6%), control 9 of 54 (16.7%), NNT 20, infectious, day 3, 400mg.
risk of no virological cure, 9.1% higher, RR 1.09, p = 1.00, treatment 4 of 22 (18.2%), control 9 of 54 (16.7%), infectious, day 3, 200mg.
risk of no virological cure, 92.3% lower, RR 0.08, p = 0.004, treatment 1 of 117 (0.9%), control 6 of 54 (11.1%), NNT 9.8, infectious, day 5, all.
risk of no virological cure, 92.2% lower, RR 0.08, p = 0.03, treatment 0 of 53 (0.0%), control 6 of 54 (11.1%), NNT 9.0, relative risk is not 0 because of continuity correction due to zero events (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), infectious, day 5, 800mg.
risk of no virological cure, 91.4% lower, RR 0.09, p = 0.03, treatment 0 of 42 (0.0%), control 6 of 54 (11.1%), NNT 9.0, relative risk is not 0 because of continuity correction due to zero events (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), infectious, day 5, 400mg.
risk of no virological cure, 59.1% lower, RR 0.41, p = 0.67, treatment 1 of 22 (4.5%), control 6 of 54 (11.1%), NNT 15, infectious, day 5, 200mg.
risk of no virological cure, 29.5% lower, RR 0.70, p = 0.30, treatment 19 of 137 (13.9%), control 12 of 61 (19.7%), NNT 17, all.
risk of no virological cure, 61.6% lower, RR 0.38, p = 0.10, treatment 4 of 53 (7.5%), control 12 of 61 (19.7%), NNT 8.2, 800mg.
risk of no virological cure, 8.3% higher, RR 1.08, p = 1.00, treatment 13 of 61 (21.3%), control 12 of 61 (19.7%), 400mg.
risk of no virological cure, 55.8% lower, RR 0.44, p = 0.33, treatment 2 of 23 (8.7%), control 12 of 61 (19.7%), NNT 9.1, 200mg.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes.
Fischer et al., 6/18/2021, Randomized Controlled Trial, USA, North America, preprint, 18 authors.
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